Showing posts with label gators. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gators. Show all posts

Friday, October 26, 2012

Florida v. Georgia


by Arnaldo
The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, or how it's known today, politically correct, Florida-Georgia.  Is it really the largest cocktail party?  Who knows?  I certainly don't care, but it is quite the event.  The game has historically been played in Jacksonville, for reasons unknown (also, no one cares) other than two years when Jacksonville Municipal was under construction.  Tailgaters take a three day weekend and arrive from Gainesville and Athens on Thursday while the city of Jacksonville suspends their open container laws for the weekend.  Combine this with the following tidbit: SEC stadiums are prohibited from selling alcohol.  Jacksonville Municipal is not an SEC stadium.  The end result becomes what we know and love to be the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.

When asked, some people would say that Florida State is Florida greatest rival, and these people are called idiots.  While it is a great rivalry which in the past has had huge National Championship implications, it's no longer the '90s.  Sure both programs are back on the rise, but Florida-Georgia has ALWAYS somehow determined the SEC East champion.  Florida and Georgia have been playing each other for 33 years before Florida ever consistently met Florida State.  The Bulldogs lead the series all-time 47-40-2, but the Gators have won 18 of the last 22 meetings. 

These guys...
The stakes in this game are high, but like I said, the stakes are always high in this game.  This particular match-up is starting to feel like the Cocktail Parties of the Urban Meyer era: top 10 meeting, SEC/National Championship implications, all that's missing is some bad blood and unfortunately, Will Muschamp (UGA alumnus) and Mark Richt seem to get along just fine.  If Florida wins, they clinch the SEC East to meet the ultimate victor between Alabama/Mississippi State/LSU, while if Georgia wins, they take control of the East and must win out their SEC schedule to make it to Atlanta.


Florida side.
Georgia side.
Okefenokee Oar - Trophies are a staple in any true rivalry game, but the Florida-Georgia game has never really had one.  Interestingly in 1986, the city of Jacksonville offered the goal posts to the winner of the game so the fans wouldn't storm the field and destroy them like the two years prior, but neither school was interested.  What do you do with extra goal posts as trophies anyway?  In 2009, an anonymous party donated the Okefenokee Oar to both student body presidents.  The trophy is still not an official trophy, because it does not belong to the match-up and athletic programs, but still, it beats nothing.  The Oar is supposedly carved from a 1000 year old cypress tree from the Okefenokee swamp, on the Florida/Georgia border.


The Match-Up


Defense and Special Teams -  There's absolutely no argument that will ever convince me that the Gators don't have the second or third best defense and the single best special teams in the country.  I've heard the argument that the special teams benefit from being made up of mostly starters, which is uncommon in college football, but last I checked, you play the game to win, and Florida's special teams had the biggest hand in beating a No. 7 South Carolina, handing the offense two turnovers and great field position.

Aaron Murray - He's second round NFL talent.  Florida has gone up against some elite SEC quarterbacks this season but it almost seems as if I've overestimated each of them.  Tyler Bray was a joke.  Johnny Manziel is talented, but his team was overwhelmed.  Murray is tied for third in the SEC in yards (1,914) with 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.  His favorite targets include Tavarres King, who has caught for 511 yards and 5 touchdowns, and Michael Bennett, who has accumulated 345 yards and 4 touchdowns.  The Bulldogs, however, run a very balanced offense, ranking 30th in the country in both passing and rushing yards per game (281.7 and 205.1 respectively) due in part to two very talented tailbacks, Todd Gurly (622 yards rushing and 9 touchdowns), and Keith Marshall (488 yards and 5 touchdowns).

Jarvis Jones - Jones is a beast.  At linebacker, he's another Jadeveon Clowney all over again.  While the Gators' tackles Xavior Nixon and Chaz Green kept South Carolina's Clowney in check last week, Jones has tallied 5.5 sacks in just five games coming off the blitz.  Jones is also recovering from an injury that forced him to sit the Kentucky game and isn't likely to be 100%.


Attacking the Line of Scrimmage - I feel like a broken record, I really do.  And yet here I am repeating that the Florida defensive front needs to continue rolling with their momentum.  I stand corrected from when I voiced my fears that this defense was just playing at their opponents in skill: they're absolutely for real.  As usual, expect one of the nation's best front four performances in defensive tackles Omar Hunter and Shariff Floyed, and ends Domique Easley and Lerente McCray.  Continue expecting stellar performances from back-ups in the most effective "next man up" defensive philosophy this side of Alabama, from freshman DE Dante Fowler Jr. or LB Antonio Morrison. 

Let's Diversify this Offense - The media couldn't shut up last week about how many points our offense scored against how many yards they gained.  It was almost as if they were trying to negate the production altogether.  South Carolina fields the 15th best defense in points against in the NCAA, and always remember these statistics have to stand against teams from joke conferences whose teams are easier to defend.  Still, the Jeff Driskel led passing game was not convincing.  Muschamp and Pease hide nothing about the offense's identity: we are a run first team, but they cannot be pleased with the lack of diversity the Gators are showing.  Florida hasn't broken over 100 yards passing since the Kentucky beatdown.  Yes, I'm preaching to the choir at this point, having mentioned it every week since then, but passing needs to improve, and so does the pass protection.  Remember, if the Gators win this weekend, they have their tickets stamped to Atlanta for the SEC Championship game against a very likely Alabama, and fewer than 100 passing yards will not beat Nick Saban.


Georgia v. Brent Pease - The Dawgs were victorious against the Gators last year but they didn't find such luck in the out-of-conference season opener against Boise St. and a Brent Pease led offense.  The Broncos put up 390 total yards in a 35-21 victory.  Pease optimistically said, "We are running the Boise State offense, other than probably Kellen Moore couldn’t do some of the runs that Jeff [Driskel] can."  While we haven't seen the prolific Boise St. offense at Florida quite yet, the skill level difference of SEC defenses is considerable.  Here's hoping, Brent.

Arnaldo's prediction:


Florida wins 34 - 17


Friday, August 31, 2012

Florida v. Bowling Green



by Arnaldo
The 2012 season opens up on Saturday with Bowling Green coming to Gainesville, and the Gator Nation couldn't be more excited, or more nervous.  The SEC isn't getting any easier.  In fact, it may be even harder.  This is the first time half of the preseason top 10 are in the same conference, and after the way the SEC made last year's Gators look, it's hard to inspire hope.

This particular match-up marks the last remnants of Urban Meyer at UF, or so we hope.  He helped schedule this game to send his original head coaching job some money.  It would've been a nice symbol of his great career. . . but we're done with that.  It's time to focus on a new year.


What to Expect


I've heard some chatter along the lines of, "what if we lose to Bowling Green?"  Cut it out.  There is no losing this Saturday.  We've conformed with not winning every single game since the end of the '09 season, even against teams that were once much inferior:  Auburn, FSU, Georgia, South Carolina.  Being in the SEC allows you to schedule a cupcake in week one to run a glorified scrimmage.  If you've been watching NFL preseason games, this will be a lot like that.  Later portions of the game will see a lot of second and third string players.  Also keep in mind that we're under yet another transition with Brent Pease coming in as offensive coordinator.  The Gators won't be in the business of running up the score, there may not even be much concern over the score as long as the Gators are winning.  This game is all about individual performances in real game situations.


What to Look For


Jacoby Brissett (left) and Jeff Driskel (right).
Both have changed their numbers since last season.
Quarterbacks.  The single loudest storyline this week has been Will Muschamp's reluctance to name a starting quarterback, and it's hard to blame him.  Jeff Driskel (6) and Jacoby Brissett (12) were recruited very similarly, ranked first and third quarterback prospects nationally.  What we saw of them last year was also too similar: crumbling under pressure in impossible circumstances.  Driskel was forced to play against the eventual national champions, while Brissett was forced to start against their runner-up.  What we have now should be two much more experienced and confident passers.  I realize it's easy to be nervous about such a glaring question mark on the depth chart, but close competition is always good for the team.  Muschamp isn't looking for a two quarterback system.  He's looking for a starter, and a live game is the perfect place to find one.  Rest assured that on the way to College Station, Texas, the Gators will have their starting quarterback.


Mike Gillislee
Mike Gillislee.  The transition from Urban Meyer's spread option to Will Muschamp's pro-style hasn't been easy.  It's not just about playbooks and audibles; it's about players, and at runningback, we found ourselves with two incredibly talented spread option type playmakers.  Speedy option pitchmen, open space runners, track stars.  In a pro-style, downhill running attack, however, Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey were rendered almost useless.  Then-offensive coordinator, Charlie Weis, had to experiment with nearly extinct formations like the pistol and full house just to keep them somewhat effective.  Mike Gillislee (23) was recruited to be an inside option back.  This means he's supposed to be running in between the tackles, but still in a system that utilizes deception and open space to succeed.  The old Mike Gillislee would still not fit in.  The new Mike Gillislee might.  He claims to have put on 10 pounds and both him and Will Mushchamp won't shut up about it.  "I was very impressed with his lunch-pail attitude," he said on the last day of camp.  "1,500 yards rushing and 24 touchdowns.  That's my goal.  That's what I want to do.  If not, then come close," said Gillislee.  If you know anything about season long runningback stats, you know he shouldn't even come close, but good for him for setting a goal that can motivate him to get as close as he can.  Also keep an eye our for true freshman Matt Jones (24) around the end of the game, who was actually recruited by size and skill to fit into our offense.


Andre Debose
Receiving corps.  The 2011 edition of the Florida Gators was not known for offensive production.  Most third downs seemed to be converted by the jack-of-all-trades tight end Jordan Reed (11).  John Brantley seemed to only make passes between the hashes so as far as the receivers are concerned, it's unfair to call them untalented, but more-so unproven.  With just as unproven quarterbacks, it's gonna be a two-pronged effort at improving each position.  Top receivers returning from last year are Quinton Dunbar (1), Latroy Pittman (13), Andre Debose (4), and Frankie Hammond Jr (85).  All have incredible potential, but will have to vastly improve.  At tight end, expect a lot more of Jordan Reed (11).  The more interesting position is the back-up tight end role.  More offenses now a days are using multiple tight end sets and more tight end plays in general, making depth at tight end crucial.  With the departure of A.C. Leonard, a huge disparity is left between Reed and his supporters.  Look to see who steps up between Clay Burton (88) (yes, Trey's little brother) or maybe receiver-turned-tight end Omarius Hines (88), who was used sparingly last year in sweeps and other specialty plays.


Defense.  I can't hype this defense up enough.  It's a squad that's been slowly rebuilding since the 07-09 stellar club, and they're still young.  2011's defense ranked 8th nationally in total defense and that was with an injured Dominique Easley (2) and another "transition" at defensive minded head coach, Will Mushchamp, and defensive coordinator, Dan Quinn.  This year, the front line is healthy and don't forget that all three Easley, Omar Hunter, and Sharrif Floyd were all 5 star recruits.  The real storyline here is the injured Ronald Powell (7) at the hybrid defensive tackle/outside linebacker (buck) position.  He claims to be healthy and should return midseason.  His replacement Lerentee McCray (34) should do his part just fine, but remains a question mark comparatively.

Dominique Easley, and America
 Calling the linebackers solid would be an understatement.  If you've watched Gator football in the last two years you don't need to be told how good Jon Bostic (1) and Jelani Jenkins (3) are.  Chances are you'll hear one of their names being called after each tackle.  The weak link is Darrin Kitchens (49) who has had field time but was almost murdered against FSU last year.  He was the player who laid motionless on the field at the beginning of the second half and needed to be carted off.  He's fine now but will need to play well to stay out of the shadow of the other two linebackers.  The safety position is more than complete with Matt Elam (22) and Josh Evans (9), two players who shone as underclassmen and are now out of excuses to be anything short of All-Americans.  Matt Elam led the team in tackles for loss (11) last year complimenting 78 tackles and two interceptions.  Not on the depth chart is De'Ante "Pop" Saunders (26) who is nursing a hamstring injury and is scheduled to return by week 3.  Saunders led an impressive Freshman year with 28 tackles and 2 interceptions.  Cornerbacks are up in the air in competition between Marcus Roberson (5), Cody Riggs (31), Loucheiz Purifoy (15), and Jaylen Watkins (14).  Muschamp isn't too worried, planning on using all four in several nickel and dime packages.  My only point of concern with this defense was last year's lack of turnovers, with only 8 interceptions.


Caleb Sturgis
Caleb Sturgis.  Yes, he's still here.  Redshirt senior Caleb Sturgis (19) is probably the best kicker in the nation, if he can stay healthy, which has been an issue the last few years.  The Lou Groza Award finalist believes he can make anything within 60 yards, and I believe him.  What you need to really watch for is the implementation of the new kickoff rules and how they'll affect the game.  As of this season, like in the NFL, kick offs will be set up at the 35 yard line, but unlike the NFL, a touchback puts the ball at the 25 yard line.  This leaves very little incentive to return the ball, but a lot of incentive to change the way kickers kick the ball.  A team confident they can stop a returner before the 25 yard line may strategically try to place the ball inside the 5 yard line to give the returner some reason to catch and return it.  Depending on how Muschamp wants to experiment with these new rules, Sturgis may be asked to soften kickoffs.


Arnaldo's prediction:


Florida wins 45-6